Week 3 is going to be tough to follow up, we saw 3 top 15 upsets and a walk-off hail mary for the history books. This week many teams are starting in-conference play. Here are the Saturday games we like and included some picks:

Sam Hartman’s return to Wake makes me very confident about this team’s chances to upset Clemson. Clemson’s offense hasn't looked very good to start the year. They are 1-2 ATS against Georgia Tech, Furman, and Louisiana Tech. Their defense is still solid but, I think that the Wake Forest offense will be able to keep up if their defense can get a couple stops. The key will be limiting mistakes in the passing game, where Wake is 22nd in the country so far.
Pick: Wake Forest +7
Notre Dame at North Carolina (UNC -1.5 || O/U 55.5)
The start of the season has not been kind to new head coach Marcus Freeman. They played against Ohio State very well, but then inexplicably lost to Marshall at home. They squeezed out a win at Cal (ugly, ugly game). They just simply have not lived up to their preseason ranking. Now they roll into Chapel Hill and have to face a very explosive Tar Heel offense. UNC’s defense couldn’t stop a runny nose, but they may not have to against this Notre Dame offense that isn't impressive at all. Notre Dame’s defense will have to take a significant jump if they want to hang around this game.
Pick: UNC -1.5
Duke at Kansas (KU -7 || O/U 65.5)
Who would have thought that Duke and Kansas would both be 3-0 to start the college football season. Typically we hear about their basketball programs touting undefeated records to start the year, and now we get a couple of rowdy fan bases to take it to the gridiron. I talked about Kansas last week and how explosive their offense was and they did not disappoint against Houston. Duke has had convincing wins against Temple and NC A&T, but struggled a bit against Northwestern; eventually getting the win. I think Kansas faces some slight regression but their 7th ranked rushing game will outlast the 50th ranked Blue Devil rush defense.
Pick: Kansas -7
This game might be the best one of the day and the hardest one to pick. Last year, Florida dominated Tennessee in Knoxville besting the Vols 38-14. However, this year’s Vols team looks very different and much more complete. Hendon Hooker is slowly starting to appear as a Heisman sleeper candidate– posting 844 yards and 6 TDs/0 INTs through the first 3 weeks. I think this really comes down to Anthony Richardson. He looked great against Utah, but then regressed significantly against Kentucky and USF. The Vols front 4 is fantastic and is going to create a lot of problems; look for Richardson to use his legs to get out in space to create plays. I’m siding with history and liking the Gators to upset the Vols.
Pick: Florida +10.5
Arkansas had a scare last week against Missouri State when they found themselves down in the 3rd quarter. I think that this was certainly a close call, but it’s almost like a needed reality check for them. They had a strong 4th where they put up 21 points and came back for the win. Texas A&M got lucky that Miami couldn’t even buy a touchdown in the red zone if they wanted to. It’s going to take a lot more than 17 points to beat this Arkansas defense that is very strong and an offense that moves the ball efficiently. A&M’s offense didn’t look exciting and still struggled even with new QB Max Johnson. I like Arkansas to come in as an underdog and officially put away Texas A&M’s season.
Pick: Arkansas +2
- Patrick McPartland / Upside Play
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