Upside Play's NFL Pick Em' Week 11

David Zalubowski/Associated Press

Current Standings:

#1 Zach (36-20)

#2 Ryan (35-21)

#3 Maher (33-23)

#4 Vince (32-24)

#5 James (31-25)

#6 Patrick (31-25)

Philadelphia Eagles (3-5-1) @ Cleveland Browns (6-3)

Current Lines: CLE -7.0 | O/U 47

The NFC East has been flat out tough to watch this season, we’ve seen every team suffer devastating injuries, and between the four teams that make up the division they hold an awful combined record of 10-26-1. Ahead of this division lies the 3-5-1 Eagles, fresh off a 27-17 loss to the Giants. Carson Wentz enters this game leading the league in interceptions (12), has been sacked the most (35), and an average QBR of 50.3. If you want to find anything offensively to compliment Philly, it’s their ability to work through the injuries and run the ball. The Eagles average 122.8 yards per game, good for 10th in the league. The D-line in Philly is a good one when healthy, they’re 2nd in the league in sacks per contest at 3.4, led by Brandon Graham who has 7 on the year. As I began writing this breaking news shocked Cleveland, their defensive star Myles Garrett was placed on the Covid list, making him unavailable against the Eagles and their struggling offensive line. The Browns have Nick Chubb back, and his return last week must have Browns fans optimistic. The 24 year old ran for 126 yards on 19 carries for 1 TD and even ran out of bounds at the 1 on purpose to help seal a victory rather than padding his own stats. The 1,2 punch between him and Kareem Hunt is deadly as they both ran for 100+ yards against Houston. The story here is Myles Garrett, as his absence will adjust the odds in a big way.

James: Browns

Vince: Browns

Zach: Browns

Patrick: Browns

Ryan: Eagles

Maher: Eagles

Tennessee Titans (6-3) @ Baltimore Ravens (6-3)

Current Lines: BAL -5.5 | O/U 49

Both of these teams are coming off of brutal primetime losses, and both have had their offensive consistency questioned going into this matchup. The Titans had a couple missed opportunities last week against the Colts, the most memorable was an AJ Brown sideline drop that could have easily gone for 6. Tennessee is led by their bell cow back Derrick Henry who is 2nd in yards (946), 2nd in yards per game (105.1), and has 8 TD’s with 0 fumbles on the year. The Titans give up nearly 400 yards a game, and despite adding some defensive depth at the trade deadline have looked vulnerable in pass coverage, giving up over 277 yards per game through the air. Baltimore was embarrassed on primetime in a monsoon against the Patriots. The Ravens have been a running team all year and Lamar has really struggled throwing the ball. He’s currently 25th in passing yards and 18th in QBR, a far fall off from his MVP season. I will give him credit where it's due, he’s 13th in rushing which ranks 2nd amongst QB’s. The reason this team is in playoff contention is its defense, they give up right around 18 points per game and are 6th in sacks per game.

James: Titans

Vince: Titans

Zach: Ravens

Patrick: Titans

Ryan: Ravens

Maher: Titans

Green Bay Packers (7-2) @ Indianapolis Colts (6-3)

Current Lines: IND -1.5 | O/U 51

One of the best stacks for fantasy resides in Green Bay as Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams have been a magnificent duo when both are healthy. Adams has 9 TD’s and 741 yards through just 7 games this year, one of which he left early due to injury. We’ve seen a vintage Aaron Rodgers all year as he’s rolled with the punches and sits atop most major passing stat categories, most notably he’s 1st in QBR, 1st in QB RTG, and 2nd in TD’s thrown. Green Bay is an offensive juggernaut, they average over 30 points per game and are just shy of averaging 400 yards per game. Their defense has lacked big play ability so far as they’ve only forced 7 turnovers this season, they’ll need to pick up the pace if they want to make a deep playoff run. The Colts are fresh off a huge 31-17 victory against the Titans, A game that included a 300 yard performance from Philip Rivers, a touchdown run from Jacoby Brissett, and the emergence of Michael Pittman Jr. via 100+ receiving yards. Their defense has been a huge part of the 6-3 start. Indianapolis is tied for 2nd in interceptions, give up less than 20 points per game, and give up the least amount of yards per game in the league. Get ready for a great offense to take on a great defense in this Sunday matchup.

James: Packers

Vince: Packers

Zach: Packers

Patrick: Colts

Ryan: Packers

Maher: Packers

Kansas City Chiefs (8-1) @ Las Vegas Raiders (6-3)

Current Lines: KC -8.0 | O/U 54.5

We’re in for a fun rematch between these two AFC West squads as the Raiders pulled off one of the upsets of the season in their first bout against the reigning super bowl champs. Patrick Mahomes and his offense have been cooking this year as they boast a 8-1 record and have over 400 yards per game. Mahomes is a clear MVP candidate as he has racked up 27 total TD’s and just 1 turnover, his offense is tied for 1st in points per game. The run defense has been a problem for Kansas City, they give up almost 5 yards per rush along with the 5th most yards allowed to opposing running backs. They got into trouble in their last outing against the Raiders when attempting to stack the box, leaving themselves vulnerable to deep down field shots. The Raiders have been a pleasant surprise this year as they currently are tied for a playoff spot amongst a very deep AFC. The Raiders only blitz 19.0% of the time per dropback, the second least per league, yet they have the second most QB hurries. Gruden’s defense is applying pressure while continuing to keep his secondary filled. Their offense is led by Derek Carr who is having a very solid year, 16 TD’s and just 2 Int’s, 5th in completion percentage, and had 347 yards and 3 TD’s in his last appearance against the Chiefs.

James: Chiefs

Vince: Raiders

Zach: Chiefs

Patrick: Chiefs

Ryan: Chiefs

Maher: Chiefs

Los Angeles Rams (6-3) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-3)

Current Lines: TB -4.0 | O/U 48.5

The Rams took care of business last week and took down the Seattle Seahawks, the win created a three way tie for the lead of the NFC West. Jalen Ramsey locked down one of the league's top receivers last week as he held DK Metcalf to 2 catches and just 28 yards. The Rams give up the 2nd least points per game at just 18.7, give up the 2nd least yards per game, and have given up the least amount of passing touchdowns. Jared Goff and the offense has been middle of the road so far, but done enough to get the job done. LA’s offensive line has been solid as Goff has only gotten sacked 1.4 times per game, they also have a top 10 rushing attack as they average over 130 yards per game on the ground. The Bucs have looked like completely different teams when considering their last two games played, two weeks ago they were completely dominated when their offense only put up 3 points against the Saints. This past week they looked back in form as they put up 46 on the Panthers, including a 192 yard performance from Ronald Jones. The Bucs defense is tied for the most takeaways in the league with 17 on the year, they also rank 3rd in yards allowed, and rank first in least amount of defensive plays per drive.

James: Bucs

Vince: Bucs

Zach: Bucs

Patrick: Bucs

Ryan: Bucs

Maher: Bucs

* All odds via Action Network

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* Cover Photo Via: David Zalubowski / Associated Press