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Writer's pictureRyan Mobley

Upside Play's NFL Pick Em' Week 12


Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images



Overall Standings:


#1 Zach (38-24)

#2 Ryan (37-25)

#3 Maher (36-26)

#4 Patrick (35-27)

#5 Vince (34-28)

#6 James (34-28)



Tennessee Titans (7-3) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-3)


Current Lines: IND -3 || O/U 51.5


This week’s pick em’ gets opened up with an AFC South rematch. The Colts picked apart the Titans two weeks ago when Phillip Rivers threw for over 300 yards and rookie Michael Pittman Jr. showcased his skills and popped off with 7 catches for 101 yards. Rivers and Pittman over the last two weeks have connected on 10/11 targets for 167 yards and 1 TD, fantastic news for Colts fans as the rookie is beginning to show an elite skill set just in time for an Indy playoff run. I spoke about the Colts defense earlier in the week, they boast a strong front 7 and a ballhawk secondary as they’re 3rd in interceptions, 3rd in rush yards allowed, and 2nd in total yards allowed per game. The Titans are coming off a strong performance against Baltimore in which they ran the ball well with over 170 yards on the ground. AJ Brown put the team on his back in the redzone as he broke well over 3 tackles and dragged some Raven defenders with him for a huge TD, a play that significantly changed the momentum of the game. If there’s a running back that can break through this Colts front line it’s Derrick Henry, he's right behind Dalvin Cook at #2 in most major stat categories as the top back. We’re in for a solid rematch this weekend.

James: Titans

Vince: Titans

Zach: Colts

Patrick: Titans

Ryan: Titans

Maher: Titans



San Francisco 49ers (4-6) @ Los Angeles Rams (7-3)


Current Lines: LAR -6.5 || O/U 45


We’re headed out west for game two as the Rams and 49ers get set up for their second matchup of the year, the first was a decisive 24-16 win for the injury-riddled 49ers. San Francisco is a clear contender for the top “what if” team of the year. They have been decimated by injuries, it started with Deebo Samuel before the season and carried its way into the regular season as multiple captains and highly paid players are still out, the current week 12 team looks a lot different than the one we saw in February. Regardless they have a game Sunday. Shanahan’s offense is dead center in most offensive categories, they run the ball well with motion and their offense thrives when they get the ball out quickly on short throws to their weapons. San Francisco is running into a very hot Rams squad on the road as the Rams have secured two huge wins in the last couple weeks over the Seahawks and Bucs. Los Angeles has two big time defenders in Jalen Ramsey and Aaron Donald, both of which wreak havoc on offensive coordinators week by week. Jared Goff got it going last week as he was able to consistently find weapons Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods. The Rams are beginning to look like a real threat in the NFC, but when playing in the best division football has to offer no team is ever a “lock”.


James: 49ers

Vince: Rams

Zach: Rams

Patrick: 49ers

Ryan: Rams

Maher: Rams



Kansas City Chiefs (9-1) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4)


Current Lines: KC -3.5 || O/U 56


Kansas City is currently sitting at +140 odds to take the AFC this year, making them the clear favorites to make consecutive super bowl appearances. Mahomes has been lighting it up all year proving he’s worth the humongous contract he was given this past offseason, the 25 year old has 29 total TD’s and just 2 turnovers on the year. Kansas City has the most points scored per game at 32.1, they also lead the league in passing yards with 300+ per, and 3rd in yards per game. They’ve been in some high scoring contest’s the past two weeks as their defense has given up 31 in both games, they’re going to need to tighten up if they want to make another super bowl run. The Bucs are coming off a brutal 27-24 loss to the Rams on Monday night, a game that saw Tom Brady make more mistakes in clutch time. This season we’ve seen a different Brady in primetime, as his Bucs are 1-3 in those games and have lost due to significant mistakes down the stretch. The Bucs boast a tough run defense, they rank 1st in rush yards allowed at 73.0 per game. Mike Evans continues to be a redzone monster, the man has 16 targets and 8 TD’s in the redzone this year, all 8 scores have come within the 10 yard line.


James: Chiefs

Vince: Bucs

Zach: Chiefs

Patrick: Chiefs

Ryan: Chiefs

Maher: Chiefs



Chicago Bears (5-5) @ Green Bay Packers (7-3)


Current Lines: GB -9 || O/U 44.5


Chicago has been a rollercoaster team this year, they’ve been on a steady decline over the last couple weeks, going 0-4 in their last 4 games. They look to avoid a winless November against the dangerous Packers offense. Mitch Trubisky is back under center for Chicago Matt Nagy announces, after not starting a game since week 4. He's currently 3-0 as a starter this year with 6 TD's and 3 picks. The Bears produce one of the league's top defense’s year by year, this year is no different, they’re allowing just 20.9 points per game, along with two big playmakers up front in Roquan Smith and Khalil Mack. Mack and Smith have a combined 23 tackles for loss and 8.5 sacks. They’re redzone defense ranks 1st in the league with the least amount of TD’s scored on them within 20. Aaron Rodgers and his Packers lost a tough overtime game on a late fumble by Marquez Valdez-Scantling, which set up the Colts for the kill shot in a 34-31 victory. Rodgers has been one of the league's best QB’s so far, he’s averaging 288.9 yards per game and has 29 TD’s (2nd) and just 4 INT’s on the year. His top weapon Davante Adams has missed 3.5 games and is still 2nd in the league in TD’s caught with 10 on the year. This game is a classic case of an elite offense vs and elite defense. The over/under is currently at 44.5, an interesting number to ponder going into sunday.


James: Packers

Vince: Packers

Zach: Packers

Patrick: Packers

Ryan: Packers

Maher: Packers



Seattle Seahawks (7-3) @ Philadelphia Eagles (3-6-1)


Current Lines: Seattle -5 || O/U 50


Seattle offensively has been giving defenses problems all year. Russell Wilson had a rare sub 200 passing yards game last week in their 28-21 victory over Arizona. Don’t let that fool you, he’s still an MVP contender. Wilson’s offense ranks 2nd in points per game, 5th in yards per game, and 1st in TD passes. The Seahawks have two star receivers in DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett, the two have a combined 17 TD’s and 1600+ yards on the year. Their defense has been the problem, particularly their secondary and pass defense. They have been unable to contain anyone as they give up 343.7 per game, 43 more yards per contest than any other team. The old days of a stingy Seattle defense are gone, they will need to step up if they want to make another deep playoff run. Every week it becomes a little more difficult defending Carson Wentz. At this point it's not just the volume of mistakes per game, it’s how they look as well. Wentz leads the league with 14 INT’s through 10 games, along with 4 fumbles lost and an insane 40 times sacked. Lane Johnson is out for the season, another blow to their offensive line. This Eagles team needs to rally with their two returning receiving threats Jalen Reagor and Dallas Goedart, who both had solid 50+ yard performances last week. They’re unfortunately getting ready to play a 4 game gauntlet against Seattle, Green Bay, New Orleans, and Arizona. The weak Seattle secondary will hopefully give either Wentz or Hurts some confidence to build on and begin a run in December.


James: Seahawks

Vince: Seahawks

Zach: Seahawks

Patrick: Seahawks

Ryan: Seahawks

Maher: Eagles




* Follow us on twitter @TheUpsidePlay for Fantasy Advice and Gameday Highlights.


* Cover Photo Via: Photo by Quinn Harris/Getty Images

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