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Upside Play's NFL Pick Em' Week 14

Writer's picture: Ryan MobleyRyan Mobley





Current Standings:


#1 Zach (44-28)

#2 Ryan (44-28)

#3 Patrick (41-31)

#4 Maher (41-31)

#5 James (40-32)

#6 Vince (39-33)



Kansas City Chiefs (11-1) @ Miami Dolphins (8-4)


Current Lines: KC -7.0 || O/U 50.5


With the Steelers losing a stunner last week against Washington, Kansas City moves to the top of most analysts power rankings. The Chiefs are an offensive powerhouse and have been torching defenses all year, they’re the only team to have over 400 yards per game and the only team to have over 300 passing yards per game. Patrick Mahomes has somehow lived up to his record breaking contract he received this offseason as he has 31 TD’s thrown and just 2 Int’s on the year. He owns the best QBR in the league and an insane Passing Rating of 113.8 in his 12 games played this year. His main weapons Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill are both over 1K receiving yards on the year along with a combined 21 TD’s. The Miami Dolphins have been a pleasant surprise out of the AFC East as they’re 8-4 with very realistic playoff hopes headed into week 14. Their final 4 games of the year ranks as one of the toughest, rookie QB Tua Tagovailoa has had a very safe yet effective approach since being named starter as he has 7 TD’s with 0 Int’s in 6 games with just 155.8 yards per game. This Miami Defense has been fantastic this year, forcing 21 turnovers and just allowing 17.7 points per game, both of which rank second best in the league.


James: Chiefs

Vince: Chiefs

Zach: Chiefs

Patrick: Chiefs

Ryan: Chiefs

Maher: Chiefs


Minnesota Vikings (6-6) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-5)


Current Lines: TB -6.5 || O/U 53


Two potential playoff teams meet in Tampa Bay this week as the Vikings visit the Bucs in week 14. The Vikings have been surging lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games. Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson have been the playmakers to watch out for in Minnesota, Cook leads the league in rushing touchdowns (13) and rush yards per game (113.6) and the rookie WR Jefferson leads the team in receiving yards (1,039). Defensively this team has struggled allowing 27.4 points per game and over 380 yards per game to opposing teams. Kirk Cousins has had another above average year so far boasting over 3,000 passing yards and 26 TD’s on the year. Tampa Bay has lost 3 of their last 4, but sitting at 6th in the playoff picture and one of the easier remaining schedules left, the Bucs have a very good shot at making the playoffs. Tom Brady has put up solid numbers in his first year out in Tampa, he has 3,300 passing yards through 12 games with 28 TD’s and 11 Int’s. Mike Evans has been the top dog in the receiving corp, dominating the redzone with 9 TD’s in that area, along with 11 TD’s on the year. The Bucs run D ranks #1 in the league allowing just 74.2 yards per game. This game has a ton of playoff implications and will be extremely important for squads down the stretch.


James: Bucs

Vince: Bucs

Zach: Vikings

Patrick: Bucs

Ryan: Bucs

Maher: Vikings


Indianapolis Colts (8-4) @ Las Vegas Raiders (7-5)


Current Lines: IND -3.0 || O/U 52


The Colts have exceeded expectations thus far entering the week with an 8-4 record. Last week the rookie Jonathon Taylor took the bulk of the carries out of the backfield and finished with 93 yards. Veteran WR T.Y. Hilton has finally gotten it going in his last two contests as he’s scored a TD in both and had 8 receptions for 110 yards last week against the Texans. Defensively this Colts team has been one of the league's best, giving up the 5th least yards per game and just 22.8 points per game. Justin Houston is the team leader in both sacks (7.5) and tackles for loss (8.5) on the year, and as a whole the team has 19 turnovers on the year. The Raiders escaped a terrible loss on one of the worst play calls of the year by former Jets defensive coordinator Greg Williams. They won the game on a last second hail mary pass to rookie Henry Ruggs who was working against single coverage with no time left on the clock. Nevertheless a win is a win and the Raiders need another big win this week to try and carve out a playoff spot down the stretch. Derek Carr has been great this year, he’s up above 3,000 yards and has 22 TD’s and just 5 Int’s on the year. Darren Waller has proved to be one of the top TE’s in the league as he leads his team in receptions, yards, and TD’s through the air.


James: Raiders

Vince: Raiders

Zach: Colts

Patrick: Colts

Ryan: Colts

Maher: Colts


Pittsburgh Steelers (11-1) @ Buffalo Bills (9-3)


Current Lines: BUF -2.5 || O/U 48.5


The Steelers were stunned last week as their undefeated record was broken by the 5-7 Washington Football Team in a 23-17 upset. Big Ben has had quite the comeback year, posting solid numbers of 260 yards per game, 27 TD’s and just 7 Int’s. His top targets are Diontae Johnson and Chase Claypool, both are very dynamic and have excelled lined up across from each other week by week. Pittsburgh's defense is a huge part of their success, they allow the least points per game, lead the league in turnovers forced at 23, and give up the 3rd least yards per game. TJ Watt has been an animal all year long, he has 12 sacks, averaging 1 per game along with 21 tackles for loss which is 5 more than anyone else in the league. Buffalo has finally taken the top spot in the AFC East after being in the Patriots shadow for what seems like forever. The addition of Stefon DIggs this offseason has proven to be a fantastic move as him and Josh Allen have wasted no time getting to know each other. Diggs is tied for the most receptions in the league at 90 and is 5th in receiving yards with 1,037 on the year. Josh Allen has been phenomenal through 12 games with 3,403 yards and 26 TD’s. Allen has also been able to rush for 6 TD’s and 322 yards this season. Their huge win last week against San Francisco puts them in fantastic position to finish the season with a home playoff game.


James: Steelers

Vince: Bills

Zach: Bills

Patrick: Bills

Ryan: Steelers

Maher: Steelers


Baltimore Ravens (7-5) @ Cleveland Browns (9-3)


Current Lines: BAL -2.5 || O/U 47


The Ravens finally picked up a win last week against the Cowboys after losing their previous 3. Lamar Jackson showed flashes of greatness as he finished with 3 total TD’s and ran the ball for 97 yards. The Ravens as a team finished with an insane 294 yards on the ground last week, they also lead the league in rush yards per game at a staggering average of 169.0 per contest. Defensively they are a tough group, rookie Linebacker Patrick Queen leads the team in tackles, and as a team they’ve forced 21 fumbles, recovering 11. Baltimore has struggled this season with covid and at 7-5 need a great finish to the season if they want to make the postseason in back to back years. Cleveland shocked many last week and took down the Titans in an offensive showcase type performance, winning 41-35. They’re on a 4 game winning streak and at 9-3 have many Cleveland fans optimistic about a playoff run. Baker Mayfield was a human highlight reel last week, he finished 25/33 with 334 yards and 4 TD’s on the day. Myles Garrett added another sack to his season total last week, he currently sits at 10.5 on the year. This could be a potential playoff matchup and we get to see it 4 weeks early.


James: Ravens

Vince: Browns

Zach: Ravens

Patrick: Browns

Ryan: Ravens

Maher: Ravens



* Follow us on twitter @TheUpsidePlay for Fantasy Advice and Gameday Highlights.

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